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Term | Last | Change |
2 year | 0.125% | -0.05 |
5 year | 0.733% | -0.09 |
7 year | 1.124% | -0.09 |
10 year | 1.420% | -0.11 |
Term | Last | Change |
2 year | 0.188% | -0.01 |
5 year | 0.761% | -0.03 |
7 year | 1.075% | -0.03 |
10 year | 1.374% | -0.05 |
Term | Last | Change |
1M LIBOR | 0.119% | 0.00 |
Fed Funds | 0.250% | 0.00 |
SOFR | 0.030% | 0.01 |
Prime | 3.250% | 0.00 |
Strike | 12 Months | 24 Months | 36 Months | 48 Months |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.75% | $14,000 | $19,000 | $58,000 | $193,000 |
1.25% | $13,000 | $18,000 | $50,000 | $150,000 |
1.75% | $12,000 | $17,000 | $40,000 | $110,000 |
2.25% | $12,000 | $17,000 | $30,000 | $83,000 |
Term | Last | Change |
2 year | 0.188% | -0.01 |
3 year | 0.344% | -0.02 |
5 year | 0.761% | -0.03 |
7 year | 1.075% | -0.03 |
10 year | 1.374% | -0.05 |
Latest market driven forward curves for cashflow modeling, including shock scenarios.
Captures stress in the banking industry, which in turn slows lending and investment.
Term | Last | Change |
1M LIBOR | 0.119% | 0.00 |
3M LIBOR | 0.191% | 0.00 |
Fed Funds | 0.250% | 0.00 |
SOFR | 0.030% | 0.01 |
Market positions on 10yr rates which suggests bias for higher/lower rates.
German Bund is the primary alternative to 10T. If Bund moves higher, gives room for 10T to move higher.
Interest rates accounting for inflation.
Interpolated market projections for future 10 year Treasury yields.
An inverted yield curve signals a recession about 2 years in advance.
Term | Last | Change |
2 year | 0.125% | -0.05 |
3 year | 0.284% | -0.07 |
5 year | 0.733% | -0.09 |
7 year | 1.124% | -0.09 |
10 year | 1.420% | -0.11 |
Term | Last |
1-Yr Fwd | 1.61% |
2-Yr Fwd | 1.84% |
3-Yr Fwd | 2.01% |
4-Yr Fwd | 2.16% |
5-Yr Fwd | 2.26% |
Do Fed tightening cycles push us into recessions?
Combined Fed and ECB bond holdings ($) as part of QE policies.
Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, with a 2% long term goal.
Measures the degree of financial stress in the market via 18 data series.
Generally a lagging indicator, sub-100 strongly suggests we are in a recession.
When loan growth contracts, we generally have a recession.
Delinquency rates above 1.5% start raising serious concerns.
Above 0 indicated tight financial conditions, while below 0 indicate loose financial conditions.
Readings above 20 have always resulted in a recession, but doesn’t provide much lead time.
What we do is complex and constantly changing – and we like it that way. We stay on top of interest rate markets so that you can focus on your business. We combine the entrepreneurial spirit of a start up with the resources of an experienced firm to ensure every client’s needs are met. By staying ahead of the curve, you win more deals and maximize returns.
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We care about your deal as much as you do. You will hear from us a lot during the closing cycle to ensure everything is in order and there are no surprises at the closing table. If you email us over the weekend needing an emergency calculation, you will get it. You will not wear us out with requests. When you reach out to us, that is a win in our book. If we take care of the customer, the rest takes care of itself.
Our clients enjoy working with us. Like you, we invest heavily in creating the right culture. We hold ourselves accountable and push each other to be the very best teammates we can be. By providing outstanding experiences for our employees, we can ensure the same for our clients.
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